Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has attempted 5.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Vince Williams Jr. has accumulated a mere 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.6 fouls per game last year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) against the Jazz, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 9th-least aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The matchup against John Collins is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Collins is on the visiting team and guarding other starting PFs this year, they have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game (13th percentile).

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