Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has notched 13.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's notched over the course of the season.
Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 55.3% on field goals (30th-best in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Vince Williams Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 19.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Hawks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (30th-lowest in the league) against the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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