Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has converted 46.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 9.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year when playing on the road.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 6.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Vince Williams Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have registered 11.3 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making this a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.