Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has made 51.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing on the road.
Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league without the home court advantage over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 19.5 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The 6th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Vince Williams Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.