Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has posted 14.0 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.7% more than he's made over the course of the season.
Vince Williams Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.1 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).