Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has posted 14.7 points per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 33.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 19.2% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Vince Williams Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup against Portland is a challenging one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (12.1).
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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