Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has notched 15.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 higher than he's notched overall this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 more than he's played overall this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have scored 19.5 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, marking this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 8.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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