Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 16.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 6.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 7.0 shots made from the field per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. slots into the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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