Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are away from home (13th-least in the NBA).

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