Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have come down with 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).
Vince Williams Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Grizzlies have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).