Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the most aggressive team in the NBA when playing at home over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have attempted 21.0 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for scoring; their opposition has put up the 10th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (48.6%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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