Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
Vince Williams Jr. has played 33.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.0 more than he's played overall this year.
In regard to three-point attempts, the most aggressive team in the league while playing away from home over the last 25 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The matchup against the Pacers is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
The Grizzlies have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Vince Williams Jr. stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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