Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing away from home.
Vince Williams Jr. has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The 9th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.1 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a tough matchup.
Vince Williams Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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