Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Vince Williams Jr. has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's played overall this season.
The 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Vince Williams Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Vince Williams Jr. places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Grizzlies's lackluster 108.1 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on three-pointers (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Bulls).
Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, their opposition has snagged 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (preserving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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