Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs New York Knicks · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup against New York is a good one for 3-pointers; when the New York Knicks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (48.0%).
The New York Knicks have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has grabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made a mere 32.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 38.5 mark last year.
The Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are the visiting team (8th-least in the league).

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