Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-117/-117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
The Grizzlies have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 33.1% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Vince Williams Jr. has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.