Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has attempted 4.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.2 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road.
Vince Williams Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 19.3% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns).
The Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has brought down 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Over the last 18 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted 23.0 free throws per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to get to the foul line.