Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has converted 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on threes (30th-best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league on the road with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Vince Williams Jr. should suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.