Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
While playing away from home, the Pacers have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while at home.
The Grizzlies have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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