Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has made 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three in all games this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 7.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The 7th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 9.1 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, creating a challenging matchup.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the NBA).