Vince Williams Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied a terrific 5.6 points per game this year, significantly more than his 2.0 points per game last year.
Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
Vince Williams Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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