Vince Williams Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has totaled 7.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's totaled in all games this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
Vince Williams Jr. figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. rates in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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