Vince Williams Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-162/+132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has totaled 3.6 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's totaled in all games this season.
Vince Williams Jr. has played 33.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.0 more than he's played overall this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
The Grizzlies have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Vince Williams Jr. stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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