Vince Williams Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Vince Williams Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Vince Williams Jr.

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Vince Williams Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's tallied overall this year.
Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The 10th-fastest pace road team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has snagged 9.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Vince Williams Jr. lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
Vince Williams Jr. should suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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