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Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Victor Wembanyama has notched 25.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.2 higher than he's notched over the course of the year on the road.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has snagged 9.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Victor Wembanyama has converted 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to threes, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 34.2% rate of made threes ranks worst in the league this year.

This matchup is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing clubs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Heat have the home court advantage (38.3).

The number of shots from the field against Bam Adebayo has been very low (8.3 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 14th percentile).

Victor Wembanyama will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production for all stats.

More Victor Wembanyama Player Props

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