Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama measures in the 86th percentile for shots taken without the home court advantage, putting up 14.6 per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
Victor Wembanyama has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has converted 25.7% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 9 games in their home stadium, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 23.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the NBA).

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