Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 3:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 14.8 shots per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have tallied 31.9 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, making this a tough matchup.
The matchup against Golden State is a positive one; when the Golden State Warriors are on their home court, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (19.5).
The Spurs have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has made 25.7% of his 3-pointers while at home this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama lands in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, posting a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).