Victor Wembanyama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup with Moses Brown lands in the 97th percentile with the other team's starting Cs scoring an enormous 66.7% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year when they are playing on the road.
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have snagged 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has sunk 25.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Victor Wembanyama will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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