Tyus Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Tyus Jones

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Tyus Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyus Jones has successfully made 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Tyus Jones slots into the 13th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a lowly 0.7 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Wizards are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Tyus Jones has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).
Tyus Jones stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.