Tyus Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Tyus Jones

NBA · Player Props

Tyus Jones

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tyus Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyus Jones has made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this season while on his home court.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones rates in the 10th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a mere 0.8 fouls per game this year.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Tyus Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 27.4% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Washington Wizards's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home ranks worst in the league this year.

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