Tyus Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Tyus Jones

NBA · Player Props

Tyus Jones

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Tyus Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyus Jones has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 11th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have shot 48.5% on field goals (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, marking this as a good matchup.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
At home, the Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Suns).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Tyus Jones will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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