Tyus Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Tyus Jones

NBA · Player Props

Tyus Jones

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Tyus Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyus Jones has successfully made a whopping 47.9% of his field goals this year, a significant increase from his 40.0 rate last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones rates in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.0 fouls per game away from home this year.
In terms of offense, the Washington Wizards's fantastic 117.6 points per game rates 8th-most in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a favorable one; when the Detroit Pistons are playing at home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (22.1).
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Tyus Jones has sunk a lowly 66.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 78.9 mark last year.
Tyus Jones should see a decline in production for all stats due to playing away from hom in this game.

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