Tyus Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Tyus Jones

NBA · Player Props

Tyus Jones

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Tyus Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyus Jones has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the NBA (15th percentile).
In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (28th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Bucks is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tyus Jones has converted a lowly 55.6% of his free throws this year, a significant dropoff from his 78.9 rate last year.

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