Tyus Jones Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Tyus Jones

NBA · Player Props

Tyus Jones

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Tyus Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyus Jones has averaged 5.1 assists per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Among all players in the league, Tyus Jones places in the 2nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 0.4 fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Tyus Jones should suffer a reduction in output across the board in light of playing away from hom in this game.

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