Tyrese Haliburton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Tyrese Haliburton

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Tyrese Haliburton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 20.4 clip, Tyrese Haliburton's points per game have risen this year to 29.0.
Relative to last season's 7.4 clip, Tyrese Haliburton's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 10.0 per game.
Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 33.1 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 0.8 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
In terms of offense, the Pacers's remarkable 127.6 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the strongest in the league this year.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 15.4 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Tyrese Haliburton will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.