Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2026

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 1, 2026

Updated Apr 1, 2026 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.1% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat.
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.

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