Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2026

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 8:58 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Pacers is a good one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).
The Heat have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 5th-best in in the league as the road team with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 5.3 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Pacers, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

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