Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2026

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Mar 6, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a good one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.

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