Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2026

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 21, 2026

Updated Feb 22, 2026 4:53 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Heat.
The Heat rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Heat rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Memphis is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have put up the 5th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (29.6%).

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