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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has put up 27.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 higher than he's put up in all games this season.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game while on the road this year.

The Heat have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.4%).

Tyler Herro has sunk 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance across the board.

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