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Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Tyler Herro has registered 27.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.5 more than he's registered in all games this year.Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.In regard to shooting, the Heat's stellar 125.2 points per game as the visting team rates 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games.The Chicago Bulls have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Miami Heat.Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from home.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This year, opposing starting PGs have logged 13.7 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Bulls, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Bulls, struggling to get to the free-throw line.Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.
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