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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has notched 27.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's notched overall this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.4 minutes per game on the road this year.

In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 44.6% rate of drained threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Heat.

Tyler Herro has converted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 13.7 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against Chicago is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game this year when the Chicago Bulls are on their home court (least in the league).

Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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