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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2025

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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