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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has compiled 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.

Tyler Herro has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 48.8% rate of drained threes rates strongest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Tyler Herro has converted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Memphis is a hard one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (17.0).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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