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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has posted 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's posted in all games this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (highest in the league) against the Celtics, creating a favorable matchup.

Tyler Herro has converted 98.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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