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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has converted 52.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

Tyler Herro has averaged 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 21.8 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards, making this a strong matchup for offensive output.

The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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