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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has converted 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on threes (9th-best in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, resulting in a good matchup.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 0.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (least in the league).

Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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