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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/27/2025

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

As it relates to three-pointers, the Heat's excellent 44.1% rate of made threes with the home court advantage ranks best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Hawks is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 5th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.

Compared to last season's 2.3 rate, Tyler Herro's free throws made have risen this season to 3.5 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 5.0 clip, Tyler Herro's failed three-pointers have risen this year to 5.7 per game.

The slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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