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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 9.3 per game.

Tyler Herro has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.

With respect to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of made threes at home measures as the 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 45.5% on field goals (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a positive matchup.

Tyler Herro has sunk an impressive 3.6 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.3 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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