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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Tyler Herro has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league while playing on the road over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat.

The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, marking this as a hard matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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